Showing posts with label outliers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label outliers. Show all posts

Sunday, June 14, 2015

The secret to learning?

Original post:  Apr 29, 2014

What if it takes more than practice to actually pick up a skill?

In his book "Outliers", Malcolm Gladwell theorized that 10,000 hours of practice seemed to be the threshold for true excellence in a given field. What he might have missed in this theory was the fact that it might take more than just hitting a specific whole number. In Peter Brown's book "Make it Stick: The Science of Successful Learning," he discusses what he believes is a more effective method to actually gain proficiency in the "real world" application of learning.

He argues for spacing out practices to allow time to forget what you have learned. These gaps may seem as if they slow down progress, but they serve an important function:

Almost everywhere you look, you find examples of massed practice: colleges that offer concentration in a single subject with the promise of fast learning, continuing education seminars for professionals where training is condensed into a single weekend. Cramming for exams is a form of massed practice. It feels like a productive strategy, and it may get you through the next day’s midterm, but most of the material will be long forgotten by the time you sit down for the final. Spacing out your practice feels less productive for the very reason that some forgetting has set in and you’ve got to work harder to recall the concepts. It doesn’t feel like you’re on top of it. What you don’t sense in the moment is that this added effort is making the learning stronger.

He applied these concepts in surgical training:

The benefits of spacing out practice sessions are long established, but for a vivid example consider this study of thirty-eight surgical residents. They took a series of four short lessons in microsurgery: how to reattach tiny vessels. Each lesson included some instruction followed by some practice. Half the docs completed all four lessons in a single day, which is the normal in-service schedule. The others completed the same four lessons but with a week’s interval between them.

In a test given a month after their last session, those whose lessons had been spaced a week apart outperformed their colleagues in all areas—elapsed time to complete a surgery, number of hand movements, and success at reattaching the severed, pulsating aortas of live rats. The difference in performance between the two groups was impressive. The residents who had taken all four sessions in a single day not only scored lower on all measures, but 16 percent of them damaged the rats’ vessels beyond repair and were unable to complete their surgeries.

Why is spaced practice more effective than massed practice? It appears that embedding new learning in long-term memory requires a process of consolidation, in which memory traces (the brain’s representations of the new learning) are strengthened, given meaning, and connected to prior knowledge—a pro cess that unfolds over hours and may take several days. Rapid fire practice leans on short-term memory. Durable learning, however, requires time for mental rehearsal and the other processes of consolidation. Hence, spaced practice works better. The increased effort required to retrieve the learning after a little forgetting has the effect of retriggering consolidation, further strengthening memory.

Here is a link to the full article which also discusses other examples of this theory:  Ditch the 10,000 hour rule! Why Malcolm Gladwell’s famous advice falls short - Salon.com

Monday, June 8, 2015

Practice makes perfect--as long as the rules don't change

Original post:  Nov 16, 2012

In Malcolm Gladwell's book, Outliers, he argues that the key to success lies in spending at least 10,000 hours working at your field. Another author, Francis Johansson, disagrees. Mr. Johansson argues that many times success is far more attributable to luck and serendipity than we are willing to admit.

In his book titled "The Click Moment", he says we need to turn our attention to those moments when skill and luck combine.

He argues that practice can make perfect for a sport or a skill (like a musical instrument) because the rules don't change. Hours spent at practice pay off in building specific muscle memory that can create brilliant performance (especially at critical moments). In the world of business, there are many more dynamics at play that are unpredictable. What worked last year may not work next year. In those cases, there needs to be new combinations and lots of attempts. Here is a sample of his thinking from the article:
 Can you give an example of a "click moment"?
Youtube started as a dating site [a video version of Hot or Not]. It was awful as a dating site. People had to upload their videos and have people vote on them. Who wants to do that? Then two of the founders [Chad Hurley and Steve Chen] go out to dinner -- they filmed the dinner but had nowhere to upload it. Then the third founder founder [Jawed Karim] tries to find a video of a Janet Jackson wardrobe malfunction and can't find it, and so when they meet up they think "wait a minute, you want to upload a video, I want to find a video, our platform can do that. Eighteen months later they sold it for $1.65bn to Google.

Can't serendipity lead just as easily lead to disastrous outcomes as it does good ones?
People say luck is blind. And so, in some ways, yes. What I'm arguing for will lead to more "disasters". But you need to play purposeful bets and take statistical advantage of randomness. Think about Angry Birds. Rovio made that game and people said "whoa, it's an overnight success". Well no. Actually they'd been around for eight years and it was their 52nd game. No one has heard of the other 51 but if you or anyone else tried something 52 times, you would have a pretty good shot at doing something remarkable.